Weary election workers are preparing for the races on strained resources, two months after Joe Biden's narrow Georgia win. Democrats started at a historical disadvantage, but their voters have shown up in runoffs like never before, while most Republicans kept looking to Election Day. Yeah. If you're watching CNN, for example, it says "96% estimated vote" on the screen. There's 159 counties in Georgia, each of which will be reporting three buckets of votes: In-person on Election Day, early in-person and mail ballots. It would also send a message to Republicans who donât support the Electoral College objections. The Black church and politics are inextricably linked in Atlanta. CNN's (plus ABC, CBS and NBC) come from Edison Research, a firm that conducts exit polls and counts the vote for those networks. Polling hours: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Local election dates For the record, DeKalb delivered big for Dems in November -- Biden won by a landslide, 83-16. Groupies, autograph lines, the tortoise shell glasses replaced with aviators, the whole deal. So get comfy, folks! Is there a face-in-hands emoji on here, Zach, Our friend Eric Geller is not with us right now, but he'd tell you all the importance of a paper backup, It asks "is it true that voting machines 'stopped working' earlier in Georgia today?" Thanks for asking Zach! Returning to Valdosta's Lowndes County...97% of estimated votes are now reported. Those ballots in Chatham may be what we are ultimately waiting for, but that ain't coming 'till tomorrow, Current margin of Perdue's lead over Ossoff is about 3,100 votes, Welcome to being a true swing state, Georgia [Editing this: I meant a truly purple battleground state with tight election margins and late night vote-counting that bleed into morning]. There have been 1,991 senators in history according to congressional historians. And with 78% of the expected vote in, Republican Kelly Loeffler leads Democrat Raphael Warnock, 50.3% to 49.7%. Race calls are projected by the Associated Press using vote returns, exit polls and other data. If you're looking at the results on our site, you might see something that says "95% of expected vote in." Officials started processing ballots on Dec. 21, 2020 â more than two weeks before Election Day. Just kidding. Also, Black voters were casting ballots at a remarkable rate: About 30 percent of all early voters were Black, according to data from the fine folks at Georgia Votes, Either way, Rs are in an early vote hole, Democrats estimate their candidates lead by about 200,000 early votes. Brian Kempâs appointment of Kelly Loeffler that led to an intraparty war between her and Rep. Doug Collins, all but guaranteeing a runoff in the special election for the rest of Isakson's term. Hello from Atlanta, the center of the universe tonight. But it's a lot of it, A random observation: Right now, Bubba McDonald, the incumbent Republican in a runoff tonight for a public service commission seat, is running ahead of both Loeffler and Perdue in terms of raw vote, despite the fact there's roughly 40,000 less votes cast in his race. Ossoff's near-miss 2017 House run became a national cause. Despite the messaging mishaps over the past few weeks, Trump is still their biggest asset.Â, To Jamesâs point about Black voter turnout, if African-American ballots are 30% of the share of vote, itâs an indicator of a likely Democratic winÂ, The first returns are in, everybody panic!!! At this point, I can write the conspiracy theories that will populate social media tomorrow. Georgia Senate runoff LIVE ELECTION RESULTS | JANUARY 5, 2021. For decades, the two suburban giants voted in tandem, almost always delivering solid Republican margins. 13WMAZ. We are looking at a lot of early-counted mail right now, which is partially why the Democratic leads are large at the moment -- or at least large compared to the close to 50-50 baseline from November. Georgia election admins battle Covid and conspiracies ahead of Senate runoffs, https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/05/gabriel-sterling-blames-trump-455279, GOP Georgia election official: Blame Trump if Perdue or Loeffler lose, Democrats go back where they started to expunge Trump era: Jon Ossoff, 84 percent between 2010 and 2018>. The results with this level of Election Day turnout just proves the old political axiom: Nobody knows anything. Karen Handel beat Ossoff in that 2017 runoff (cc: Elena), lost a squeaker to now-Democratic Rep. Lucy McBath in 2018 and then this year ... not a particularly close rematch between still-Rep. McBath and Handel. UPDATED JAN. 5, 2021 How did we get to a point where control of the Senate came down to two runoff elections... in the same state? President Trump, who lost Georgia, had a 10-point lead at midnight on election night. Updated: 11:51 PM EDT March 16, 2021. Georgia has the third highest percentage of Black people. ET Raphael Warnock (D) and Jon Ossoff (D) are projected to win Georgia’s U.S. Senate runoff elections, giving Democrats control of … So he left that race blank. The smartest and dumbest thing said in politics is that itâs all about turnout. Don't fact check me on that. I'm not sure about Raffensperger, but Gabe Sterling (who is one of the top officials in the secretary of state's office, who has just ripped the president and the two Republicans for the election conspiracies) pulled the lever for both Loeffler and PerdueÂ. This could be a really big deal, and I'm keeping a close eye on it. My guess is we'll see incredibly few ticket splitters and that the only discrepancies between votes for candidates on both sides will be the result of undervoting. Twenty years later, Biden carried Gwinnett 58-40. Georgia election results are provided by the Associated Press. I think we're going to keep, endlessly, be asking the question: What does the electorate look like? Loeffler is also leading 51-49. The 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020 and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class II member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. More than 3.75m ballots have been cast. MACON, Ga. — Voters across Central Georgia took to the polls to cast their ballots for the second time this year in special elections in a handful of counties on March 16. Yeah. That's why some counties are already entirely reported, and some show "zero precincts reported" despite having results in. How's everyone doing? Tonight Iâm looking at the results out of Georgiaâs rural counties, places Democrats once all but conceded to Republicans but have poured lots of money and resources into this time around. Take that, James! So we're at 2.8m votes in and Perdue just cleared 50% and took a marginal lead over Ossoff but Loeffler still trails Warnock, who's just over 50% as well. In 2016, Georgia went for then-candidate Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton by a margin of about 5 percentage points, a … Democrats have to win both of the state’s Senate elections to gain the Senate majority. So if there are 171k early votes left to be tallied in DeKalb and if Ossoff and Perdue get the same support rates as they did in November, Perdue's 113k lead would be cut down to 1,300 but Loeffler would wind up losing by 51k. David Perdue "beat" Jon Ossoff in November, 49.7-47.9%. I wonder if the ATL suburbs will deliver the same Dem margins in a post-Trump era. Live Georgia Senate special runoff election results 2021, including votes and polling results for Senator Kelly Loeffler and Rev. (That general order makes sense, the last ballots processed are often the mail ballots that arrive on Election Day. It all adds up to this: Almost all the votes are in. So Iâm looking to see if those demographic shifts that flipped the state blue will make a difference in tonightâs runoffs. The Republicans are up but barely so. Follow. David Perdue is still very narrowly ahead of Jon Ossoff in the regular election. I almost included it in the preview we published this morning. While his party is engaged in nail-biting over the fate of its Senate majority, President Trump just released the following statement. But I do wonder, if these Republican turnout problems hold, what that will mean for 2022? Statewide election dates in Georgia are listed below. I wonder Charlie if itâs a leading indicator of the underlying belief by many conservatives that theyâll lose this election.Â. The closer we are, the longer it will stretch. Iâm going to be watching the vote compared to Novemberâs baselines in a handful of places â metro Atlanta, rural majority-Black counties, Trump country. (And James Arkin memorably wrote about Ossoff's evolution as a candidate, if you're interested!)Â. His winning margin there was roughly 250,000 votes. Both won roughly 88% there -- outperforming Biden -- amid heavy turnout for a runoff. Not making a prediction here, but top Democratic insiders in Georgia and Washington are looking at the outstanding votes in DeKalb County and feeling very bullish about the prospects of a 50-50 Senate. Marc Perdue also didn't have to run in a vicious primary. I'll bet he's treated like a rock star at the next election administrators convention. That's more than the secretary of state's office was estimating, So with Perdue's lead down to just 384, and with more votes from Democratic counties, Ossoff should pull ahead soon and Warnock's lead will grow. It is a lot of votes, Yeah, Charlie. Biden won Washington in November, though, Would you look at that: There is a county that flipped from Perdue to Ossoff, going from November to now: Washington County, a bit east of Macon, which would be approximately the halfway point, We are quickly approaching the 2 million vote mark. I'm looking at how he performs with Black voters in places like Savannah, Columbus, even Valdosta to prove whether it's really an issue. Great to be back together again. And of course, a split decision is not good enough for Democrats, who need both seats to win the Senate. Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff were declared the winners of runoff elections against Republican David Perdue and Sen. Kelly Loeffler on Wednesday, handing Democrats control of the Senate and giving President-elect Joe Biden a major early victory that will improve his chances of getting his legislative agenda and nominations through Congress. As late as 5:30pm, I saw a prop plane flying above Atlanta with a Warnock banner that read: âVOTE TODAY.â. If Perdue hangs on (he's ahead by fewer than 1,900 votes), it's a testament to his refusal to campaign. Already, one member of the family (by marriage) is considering running for Senate in your home state! And also, are we going to watch the urban-rural divide widen in real time? Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. So thatâs right in the middle. The story of the Trump era has been big metro areas and smaller exurban and rural communities racing apart from each other with each successive election. These folks have been running basically nonstop since the summer. Well, they're simply estimations of how many votes have been cast in the races. So Chatham County allegedly releasing votes tonight after it was reported that folks were going home. A liberal outfit from Colorado rented a house in town for door-knockers to live. I love when Steven uses words like co-terminous. But there is helpful precedent for breaking it down tonight: We just had a closely divided election in Georgia two months ago. Hello and welcome to POLITICOâs Georgia Senate runoff live chat. But Iâve been more struck at just how inundated the state has become with adsâTV, online, billboards, and even up in the sky. Speaking of people spreading conspiracy theories ... just got a fundraising text from the president with a conspiracy theory in it! He says these are close races, something could ultimately fall in that .5 percent threshold, in which the losing candidate can request a recount. And Sterling brings up the dreaded R word ... recount! They did both those things, which is why we're looking at such close races, I'll bite on that one, Charlie -- just purely numerically, it was A LOT of people. For those readers who are curious, POLITICO is the best media league softball team. We're not expecting a call on the races anytime soon, so we're going to call it a night. The Democratic Senate candidates are running margins about 2 points better than Biden's over Trump two months ago, when he narrowly won the state. Georgia has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Lots of folks going there, After years of being passed over by brands and management companies despite driving the internetâs biggest trends, Black influencers inâ¦. OMG. Follow the latest updates. Steven A few of those metro Atlanta counties have over 80% of estimated votes reported (Rockdale/Clayton/Douglas). As Elena can attest, we saw a lot more Democrats of color run and run well in heavily white districts than before, shattering some preconceptions. Anyone caught cheating will have their expense accounts scrutinized to the fullest extent. But if DeKalb comes in at the amount that's left and if the candidates get the same rates of support as they did in November, it would give Ossoff 145k votes. Raphael Warnock defeated Republican Sens. Gabriel Sterling took aim at the president as the two Senate runoffs appeared very close. I wonder if the same happened during the runoff. There are two Senate seats on the ballot today and Democrats must win both to gain a Senate majority. From his name to his demeanor, Perdue is very Georgia. His campaign knew that too. Rev. What will substantial variations tell us? James Jon Ossoff's basically been running for office for three years straight in Atlanta. Maya I'm curious to see how cities outside Atlanta do, too. Itâs too bad Georgia doesnât have a system that makes County election supervisors do what North Carolina and Florida do: process early and absentee ballots ahead of time and tabulate them instantly as soon as polls close. They emphasized that the analysis is not partisan. Charlie, I think Cobb & Gwinett counties are a tale of demographics. The Georgia election results are broadly acknowledged by community leaders as being made by Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives. Despite what the president believes, there's quite a degree of balkanization on election night there, No, I do not. So they're placing a big bet on turnout today, and hoping that their ground game ensures limited drop off, Democrats needed that high early turnout and the stronger percentage of Black voters in early voting to stand a chance tonight. Georgia results for the 2020 presidential election, special election, Senate and House races, and key ballot measures. What do we know at this point? Steven Especially if Democrats manage to (somehow) retake the Senate. But what's the rush? But good point Charlie: I'm not predicting a win. There's also the obvious point: Republicans have a Black voter problem. Why are results not posted more quickly? Warnock is up 35,031. Chill out people. If early voting is any indication, the state is on pace for 770,000 Election Day voters. According to the Georgia Secretary of State's office, 156 of 159 counties have reported complete returns. But nearby, red-leaning counties that have counted their E-day votes generally show Dems holding their own in SW Georgia (which seems to be the trend so far, though it's early). And the numbers look better for Perdue. Subscribe today. I scooped the details that Facebook was going to fully reinstate it's political ad ban, after making an exemption for the Georgia runoffs. That means we should expect the Republican candidates to lead in the vote count for much of the evening. They'll be the party in power, and that's not usually a great motivator in a midterm. 8 killed in shootings at 3 Atlanta-area spas, suspect in custody "High risk" of large and dangerous tornadoes across South Warnock is about to give the speech of his life. That's going to be well over 100,000 votes that'll break decisively for Democrats. Do not read into them, Republicans have for a while now been saying their voters, who already prefer to vote on Election Day, are even more likely to do so in this race. What are you watching for tonight? Part of that county sits in GA-06, where he ran in 2017. One of the most fascinating storylines coming out of these runoffs has been President Trumpâs ability â and, really, desire â to trample all over the GOPâs messaging in order to pressure Republican lawmakers to support his long-shot effort to overturn the results of the November election. Looks like about 22,000 votes have been reported so far. Ok. Well, we've been going at this for more than five hours now -- if you've been with us the whole time, you deserve a medal. And it's race.â, Republicans going into today were pegging 1 million Election Day turnout as a mark where they would feel pretty solid about their chances of winning, Right. âOur Vice President has several options under the U.S. Constitution. This can see-saw really quickly, and I wouldn't assume Democratic voters are going to stay this activated (or anywhere close) 22 months from now either. Hi, Charlie. So what do we know about the early vote, either anecdotally or through available data? But for Democrats to be outperforming Biden in the heart of their territory is a good sign for them. Georgia Election Results. A silent L, Steven, but I only know that because I was hectored by someone in Georgia recently on a phone call for saying it incorrectly. Loeffler, meanwhile, turned ** much ** harder right in her jungle primary. You edited the story, Charlie. Here's a trivia question for my fellow chatters and political geeks. results, Raphael Warnock is outpacing Jon Ossoff in terms of margin. "It could be a see-saw for the rest of the evening" as more votes come in, Sterling said. The list goes on.... Another very early observation: With 28% reporting, Ossoff is running well ahead of his Nov. 3 pace in Gwinnett County, a populous Atlanta suburb. And the music industry is big there, too. Updated Jan 19, 2021 at 11:18 a.m. Happy week 53 of 2020. Sounds like a good story idea, It would be quite something to see Ossoff net a big boost in DeKalb that could potentially help lift him. Sterling said we are approaching 3 million votes counted in the state -- but he doesn't have an estimate for how many people voted today quite yet. Elena We went from the lowest-turnout midterm ever in 2014, to the highest-turnout midterm ever in 2018. Speaking of Jim Crow relics, Marc, let's remember why we're here in the first place: Georgia's runoff system. Get live polls and voting maps by county and district. Jan. 6, 2021, 05:57 PM Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, and President-elect Joe Biden. We should focus on those.Â, Zach Iâm sure somewhere on Twitter someone is hyperventilating based on a few percent reporting in Fulton County. Raphael Warnock by county and district. 2020 Georgia election results. Teresa Smart point. At his rally in Dalton last night, President Trump was very transparently trying to make these runoffs a referendum on his push for Republicans to object to the certification of the election. I went to high school in Atlanta and I have deep roots there. The Ossoff campaign has also made clear his ties to giants in Georgia's civil rights and Black communities like John Lewis and Hank Johnson, who he worked for in college. Help The Times remain an honest, independent voice. (Fun fact: My grandfather was MLK Jr.'s doctor back in the day.) âThe New York Times report regarding comments Vice President Pence supposedly made to me today is fake news. And Atlanta has become Hollywood South--there are movie studios there, thanks to generous Georgia tax credits. Took you 34 minutes to attack me, Charlie. Strategists are already telling me about how problematic this will be if the race is close, which we all expect it to be. POLITICO's coverage of 2020 races for President, Senate, House, Governors and Key Ballot Measures. But on this Election Day, it really does matter. The Georgia's secretary of state office is showing they've reported all their results! So we're more than halfway through with the count and it's tiiiiight. The Deadline to register to vote was Monday 28 December with the election scheduled to take place on 5 January 2021. I want to see how fast Charlie can type "Wyche Fowler" or "Paul Coverdell.". The general election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections I'm hearing that I'm going to need more coffee, Marc. Ossoff is several points ahead of his Election Day pace in each of them; Warnock is running several points ahead of Biden's pace. College education levels are below the national average, and household income is below the U.S. median. Thanks for reading! So it turns out there are voters who went with Perdue and Warnock. Now Republicans felt good about turnout in Cherokee County, which is in the Atlanta media market and is a big one that Trump won with nearly 70% of the vote in November. That's quite a transformation. I do not know if that trend will continue, but a split decision is something that operatives in both parties were seeing as a possibility in the final days. Live 2020 Georgia election results and maps by country and district. But not from Cobb, Fulton, Gwinnett or more Dem-heavy DeKalb (which I'm going to make you pronounce as a test). George W. Bush defeated Al Gore 64-32 in Gwinnett. Rankings includes all 50 states, excluding U.S. territories and Washington, D.C. Jumping off that Marc Steven -- I was looking up the numbers earlier today. Charlie Looks like Gwinnett is only reporting mail votes right now, which we'd expect to be the most Democratic-leaning segment of the total vote.
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